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When people ask me what metrics I use to find DCA opportunities within a Bitcoin bull market, I would probably pull out a set of on-chain and pricing tools, and say 'it looks a little bit like that'.
Timestamps:
00:00 Introduction
01:33 My Overall Thesis
02:50 ETF Outflows Look Dire
04:34 Assessment of Drawdowns
07:05 Mayer Multiple
10:42 Mayer Multiple Z-Score
11:57 Probability Assessment for Mayer Multiple
14:06 Top Heavy...but is it a problem?
16:17 Short-Term Holder Supply in Loss
18:36 STH-SOPR Undercuts
21:00 STH-MVRV Z-Score
22:01 Probability Assessment for STH-MVRV
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About _checkonchain:
We believe Bitcoin is one of the most important assets of our time, providing investors with a reliable and secure store of value. However, one of the biggest challenges is that Bitcoin's volatility creates uncertainty, especially for those unfamiliar with the way the market trades and moves.
At _checkonchain, we help you navigate this volatility, by bringing together years of market analysis experience, and a unique perspective rooted in the study of Bitcoin’s blockchain data (onchain analysis). We provide traders and investors with expert guidance on current events, as well as frameworks for making data-driven decisions.
Our mission? To provide unmatched Bitcoin education and insights, helping you look ahead and respond to market moves with confidence.
DISCLAIMER
Despite mankind's best efforts, none of us can predict the future, and events which have come before are in no way an indication of what may come next. All methods and concepts presented in this series shall be taken as educational, informational, and for entertainment purposes only. Nothing shall be interpreted or considered as any form of financial or investment advice of any kind. The viewer is solely responsible for their own decisions.