🔴Fantasy Football: Postive (and negative) regression candidates for 2024 🏉P B P🏉
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Typically, the only tight ends who are worth drafting in the first two or three rounds are 1,000-yard shoo-ins who are No. 1 options in their offense, like Travis Kelce, Rob Gronkowski or Zach Ertz in years past. Assuming he sees around 120 targets again this year, LaPorta would have to be significantly more efficient to reach those totals to offset the touchdown regression he is likely to experience.
He averaged just 11.5 fantasy points per game last year, which although a solid number for tight ends, it doesn’t set him apart enough to select him over wide receivers going in the same range (for reference, Jakobi Meyers averaged 11.4 points per game, finishing as the WR25). This isn’t to say that LaPorta will be bad this year, but I am wary of drafting him at cost because of potential touchdown regression and lack of immense value over replacement.
Godwin’s profile as a slot receiver and route-running technician means he should continue to stay productive as he gets older, especially now that he is almost three years removed from the torn ACL he suffered in December 2021. He’s a great pick at his ADP of WR33 and 91.6 overall, and I think he’ll comfortably finish as a top-24 receiver in fantasy this season. With any luck, he’ll be a set-and-forget WR2 for your team week in and week out, particularly in PPR formats.
I think Pittman is a steal at his Yahoo ADP of 44.3 overall. He is fresh off a productive season where he racked up a career-high 1,152 receiving yards on 109 catches. Pittman will once again be far-and-away the Colts' top receiving option and should pace the team in targets for the fourth year in a row. Like Godwin, Pittman underperformed in the touchdown department considering his volume; he caught just four touchdown passes as the Colts shifted to a very run-focused offense once Anthony Richardson got injured.
